Politics•Ends November 5, 2024
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$45.2M
12.4K
Created January 15, 2024
Yes
72¢
1250K shares
No
28¢
890K shares
Price Chart
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Yes
No
About this market
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Donald Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election and becomes the 47th President of the United States. The market will resolve based on the official results certified by the Electoral College.
Resolution Rules
- •Market resolves based on Electoral College certification
- •If election is delayed, market extends to new date
- •Ties resolved by House of Representatives vote
Discussion (3)
PoliticalAnalyst2 hours ago
Based on recent polling data, I think the Yes position is undervalued here. The momentum seems to be shifting.
DataDriven4 hours ago
Historical precedent suggests this outcome is less likely than the market is pricing. Worth considering the base rates.
MarketMaker6 hours ago
Volume has been increasing steadily. Institutional money seems to be flowing into the No side.
Trade
$
Available balance: $1,250.00
Order Book
Spread:1.0¢
Mid:72.5¢
Size
Price
Total
1.0K
73.0¢
1.0K
0.7K
74.0¢
1.8K
0.7K
75.0¢
2.5K
0.1K
76.0¢
2.6K
Spread: 1.0¢(1.38%)
0.6K
72.0¢
0.6K
0.4K
71.0¢
1.0K
0.9K
70.0¢
1.8K
0.7K
69.0¢
2.5K
